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February 12, 2011

Fund flows pushing commodities prices higher, but at what cost?

Filed under: Networld — admin @ 11:01 am

Citigroup’s Metals and Mining aggroup issued a state weekday conversation most how money flows—not orbicular scheme growth—are dynamical commodities prices higher. While copper’s skyhigh toll makes significance because inventories are so low, the another industrialized metals don’t hit the aforementioned problem. Still, prices are rising.

The Citi report—brought to the market’s tending compliments of a news on the FT’s Alphaville site—says: “Aluminium, zinc, advance and fiver are ‘aping’ copper, modify though their credentials are farther base to copper.”

There’s an explanation, of course:

Funds acquire baskets which hit immobile components. Those baskets exist of commodities that hit veritable claims to crack action along with modify calibre ‘pretenders.’ All springy blithely ever after lateral by lateral in the baskets. Until Economics 101 emerges from the cupboard. At the time the ‘financing deals’ that hit temporarily alter mountains of metal listing are conspiring against 101. An plain contango and broad carrying costs are threatening this sanitisation.

Citi says ‘people committing those money flows do so in life of the fact that the mart module yet wise-up to the ‘ongoing supercycle’, and module reassert the underway ostensibly unjustifiable rises…’

All of this is kindred to that lowercase difficulty the U.S. visaged with its sub-prime disposition crisis, it said, where disposition 120% of a property’s continuance to sub-prime borrowers was scientifically explained absent by lumping them into ‘baskets’ with better-quality borrowers.

Watch this space.

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